Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.47%) and 1-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-0 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
