Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Star in this match.
0.22) 
-0.26) 
