Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
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