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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 6.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
82.77% ( 0.84) | 10.84% ( -0.49) | 6.39% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.54% ( 1.16) | 23.46% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.12% ( 1.54) | 42.88% ( -1.54) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.88% ( 0.33) | 4.12% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.73% ( 1.05) | 17.27% ( -1.05) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.63% ( 0.04) | 43.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.4% ( 0.04) | 79.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 3-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.32)5-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.18)6-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.15)5-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.11)7-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)6-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.85% Total : 82.77% | 1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 10.84% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.91% Total : 6.39% |
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