SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 85.67%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 5.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Hazem |
85.67% ( -0.74) | 9.24% ( 0.42) | 5.09% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.78) | 20.69% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.93% ( -1.11) | 39.07% ( 1.11) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.74% ( -0.22) | 3.26% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.57% ( -0.75) | 14.43% ( 0.75) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.34) | 44.81% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.22% ( 0.27) | 80.78% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Hazem |
| 3-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.22)1-0 @ 5% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.13)7-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)6-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.73% Total : 85.67% | 1-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)Other @ 1% Total : 9.24% | 1-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.3% Total : 5.09% |
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