SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Nassr |
44.95% ( -0.31) | 23.44% ( 0.32) | 31.61% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( -1.57) | 39.55% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.1% ( -1.66) | 61.89% ( 1.66) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.74) | 17.94% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( -1.29) | 48.76% ( 1.29) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.78) | 24.46% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( -1.1) | 58.9% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.78% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
