SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Hilal |
34.24% ( -0.66) | 22.68% ( 0.21) | 43.08% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 65.92% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.16% ( -1.23) | 34.84% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.19% ( -1.39) | 56.81% ( 1.39) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.9) | 20.76% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( -1.43) | 53.41% ( 1.43) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.32) | 16.8% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( -0.57) | 46.77% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.88% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.46% Total : 43.08% |
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