SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Al Shahaniya had a probability of 37.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Al Shahaniya win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shahaniya | Draw | Al Gharafa |
37.89% ( -0.56) | 23.53% ( 0.24) | 38.57% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( -1.23) | 38.53% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( -1.31) | 60.83% ( 1.31) |
| Al Shahaniya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.8) | 20.61% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( -1.28) | 53.16% ( 1.28) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.39) | 20.29% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( -0.62) | 52.65% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shahaniya | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.57% |
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