Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Hilal |
10.75% ( -0.02) | 15.32% ( 0.08) | 73.92% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.86% ( -0.51) | 31.14% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.44% ( -0.61) | 52.55% ( 0.61) |
Al Shabab Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.1% ( -0.4) | 39.89% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.44% ( -0.38) | 76.56% ( 0.37) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.81% ( -0.13) | 7.19% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.89% ( -0.34) | 26.11% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Hilal |
2-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 10.75% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 15.32% | 0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.82% Total : 73.92% |
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