Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
43.32% ( -0.1)	24.24% ( 0.15)	32.43% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.46% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

-0.72)

43.02% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

-0.72)

65.42% (

0.72)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

-0.34)

20.03% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76% (

-0.55)

52.23% (

0.55)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.38)

25.64% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

-0.52)

60.54% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 43.32%

Shonan Bellmare 32.43%

Draw 24.23%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 43.32%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.43%