Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
