Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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