Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
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