SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
50.1% ( -0.22) | 23.35% ( 0.06) | 26.55% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.15) | 42.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.15) | 64.72% ( 0.16) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( -0.14) | 17.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.84% ( -0.25) | 47.15% ( 0.25) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( 0.04) | 29.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( 0.05) | 65.2% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.04% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.55% |
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