Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
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