SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Radcliffe |
37.01% ( -0.01) | 27.51% ( 0.07) | 35.49% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.62% ( -0.27) | 56.38% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( -0.21) | 77.4% ( 0.22) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.13) | 29.32% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( -0.17) | 65.29% ( 0.17) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.17) | 30.25% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.2) | 66.42% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Radcliffe |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.49% |
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