SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
41.85% ( 0.18) | 29.15% ( -0.09) | 29% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.22) | 63.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.25% ( 0.16) | 82.74% ( -0.16) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.22) | 29.93% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.26) | 66.03% ( -0.26) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.04) | 38.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( 0.04) | 75.33% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.99% |
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