Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Colo-Colo.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result |
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Colo-Colo |
44.08% ( 0.01) | 27.89% ( -0) | 28.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.84% |
| 40.38% | 59.62% ( -0) |
| 20.05% ( -0) | 79.95% ( -0) |
| 73.1% ( 0) | 26.9% ( -0.01) |
