Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
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