SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Eastleigh |
63.65% ( 0.02) | 19.51% ( 0) | 16.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.07) | 37.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.07) | 59.25% ( 0.07) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.02) | 11.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.58% ( -0.03) | 35.41% ( 0.03) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.07) | 35.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.02% ( -0.07) | 71.98% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.66% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.84% |
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