Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.