SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
29.69% ( -0.96) | 23.27% ( 0.2) | 47.03% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 61.47% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.24% ( -1.49) | 39.75% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.89% ( -1.56) | 62.1% ( 1.56) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -1.34) | 25.75% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( -1.86) | 60.69% ( 1.86) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -0.28) | 17.2% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.52% ( -0.5) | 47.48% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.69% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.06% Total : 47.03% |
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