Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Montrose
48.12% ( 0.01)	24.44% ( 0.05)	27.44% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.79% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.49% (

-0.23)

46.51% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21% (

-0.22)

68.79% (

0.22)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

-0.08)

19.4% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.78% (

-0.14)

51.22% (

0.14)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23% (

-0.16)

30.77% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

-0.19)

67.04% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 48.12%

Montrose 27.44%

Draw 24.43%

Arbroath	Draw	Montrose
1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.12%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.44%