SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
35.12% ( 5) | 26.72% ( 0.08) | 38.16% ( -5.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( 0.9) | 53.28% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( 0.76) | 74.83% ( -0.76) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 3.81) | 28.96% ( -3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 4.49) | 64.84% ( -4.48) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -2.3) | 27.15% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( -3.1) | 62.55% ( 3.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.82)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.97)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.63)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.12% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -1.21)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.49)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.76)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.16% |
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