SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
27.62% ( 0.34) | 23.69% ( 0.05) | 48.7% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.04) | 43.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 0.04) | 65.43% ( -0.04) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.27) | 28.83% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( 0.34) | 64.69% ( -0.33) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( -0.13) | 17.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.45% ( -0.23) | 48.55% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 48.7% |
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