SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
42.63% ( 0.13) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 32.12% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( 0.14) | 47.68% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( 0.13) | 69.87% ( -0.13) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 0.12) | 22.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( 0.18) | 55.77% ( -0.18) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( 0.01) | 63.78% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.12% |
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