SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
43.26% ( -0.02) | 25.5% ( 0) | 31.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( 0) | 49.08% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0) | 71.16% ( 0) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.01) | 22.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( -0.02) | 56.23% ( 0.02) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( 0.02) | 29.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( 0.02) | 65.37% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.24% |
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