Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
