SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | OFI Crete |
57.92% ( 0.39) | 23.1% ( -0.19) | 18.98% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.74% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.48) | 49.51% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0.43) | 71.54% ( -0.43) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( 0.31) | 16.82% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% ( 0.55) | 46.8% ( -0.55) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.05) | 40.2% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( 0.05) | 76.83% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 57.92% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.98% |
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