Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
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