Nations League | League C

Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK

Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Armenia
0 - 2
N. Macedonia

Calisir (8'), Iwu (21')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miovski (72'), Alimi (85')
Manev (22')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Armenia and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-2 Armenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

North Macedonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Latvia 0-3 N. Macedonia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

We said: Armenia 1-2 North Macedonia

Armenia have won just two of their last 13 matches and struggled to take a single point in the Faroe Islands, so North Macedonia can claim maximum points once again. Doing the double over their hosts would put the Lions in total control of Group 4 with two games remaining, leaving promotion to League B within their grasp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	North Macedonia
54.17% ( 0.33)	23.57% ( -0.12)	22.25% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

0.28)

47.42% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

0.26)

69.64% (

-0.26)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

0.22)

17.41% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15% (

0.39)

47.84% (

-0.4)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0.04)

35.63% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

-0.04)

72.4% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Armenia 54.16%

North Macedonia 22.25%

Draw 23.57%

Armenia	Draw	North Macedonia
1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.25%