Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.53) 
