SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
57.49% ( 0.15) | 18.98% ( 0.08) | 23.54% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 71.78% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.62) | 24.02% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.83) | 43.63% ( 0.84) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.32% ( -0.16) | 8.68% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.1% ( -0.39) | 29.91% ( 0.4) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0.51) | 21.4% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( -0.79) | 54.39% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.97% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 7% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.54% |
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