SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aruba | Draw | Sint Maarten |
52.55% ( 0.35) | 21.42% ( -0.09) | 26.02% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 65.18% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.42% ( 0.23) | 33.58% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.26) | 55.39% ( -0.26) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% ( 0.19) | 13.07% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.34% ( 0.38) | 39.65% ( -0.38) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.05) | 25.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( -0.07) | 59.69% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aruba | Draw | Sint Maarten |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.02% |
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