Of the 27 teams that Monaco have faced at least 30 times in Ligue 1, they have been the most successful against Montpellier, with a top-flight winning percentage of 56.1%.
Besides that, Les Monegasques have looked incredibly potent in the attacking third at home, while the suspension of Savanier could leave Wahi stranded up front and make life easier for the home team to contain him.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
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