Given that Montpellier have won four of their five league games since Der Zakarian's arrival, the hosts look set to cruise to a comfortable victory over Clermont, who have lost four of their previous six matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
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