SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.54% ( -0.14) | 21.91% ( -0.06) | 54.55% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.49% ( 0.14) | 38.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.19% ( 0.15) | 60.81% ( -0.15) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.04) | 29.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( -0.05) | 65.59% ( 0.05) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( 0.11) | 14.14% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( 0.22) | 41.79% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 23.54% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.55% |
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