We expect to see a reaction from Monaco after their heavy defeat to Lens last week, but it is unlikely to be enough to prevent PSG from winning. Galtier's side look more free-flowing in attack than ever with more defensive security than before, too, and they could be a tough train to stop in their tracks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.88%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
77.88% ( 0.15)	13.57% ( -0.06)	8.55% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.4% (

-0.08)

29.6% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.29% (

-0.09)

50.7% (

0.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.9% (

0.01)

6.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.83% (

0.03)

23.17% (

-0.04)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.92% (

-0.27)

43.08% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.64% (

-0.23)

79.36% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 77.87%

Monaco 8.55%

Draw 13.57%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.38% Total : 77.87%	1-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.57%	1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.55%