SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.48% ( -0.07) | 21.28% ( -0.07) | 55.23% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.71% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.44% ( 0.28) | 35.55% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.39% ( 0.31) | 57.6% ( -0.32) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( 0.1) | 27.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( 0.13) | 63.62% ( -0.13) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0.13) | 12.93% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.62% ( 0.28) | 39.37% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.23% |
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