Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.09) 
