Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
