Arsenal will be motivated to provide a response to the defeat against Chelsea, and having already beaten Aston Villa on two occasions this season, we expect the Gunners to claim another victory over the Villans in Sunday's league fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
13.73% ( -1.94)	15.8% ( -1.11)	70.47% ( 3.04)

Both teams to score 64.39% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.8% (

1.22)

25.2% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.82% (

1.57)

45.18% (

-1.57)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-1.45)

31.17% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

-1.73)

67.5% (

1.73)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.55% (

0.86)

6.45% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.88% (

2.31)

24.13% (

-2.31)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 13.73%

Arsenal Women 70.47%

Draw 15.8%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.73%	1-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.42% Total : 15.8%	1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 8.05% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 5.51% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 4.73% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 3.02% ( 0.33) 0-5 @ 2.59% ( 0.38) 2-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.13) 1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.21) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.19% ( 0.22) Other @ 4.32% Total : 70.47%