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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
65.74% ( 0.91) | 18.68% ( -0.21) | 15.57% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.39% ( -0.43) | 35.6% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.34% ( -0.47) | 57.66% ( 0.47) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( 0.1) | 10.12% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.7% ( 0.23) | 33.3% ( -0.24) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -1.11) | 35.83% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( -1.16) | 72.61% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.74% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.57% |
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