SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
65.53% ( 0.8) | 20.3% ( -0.12) | 14.17% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.83) | 46.08% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( -0.79) | 68.39% ( 0.8) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( -0.02) | 13.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.99% ( -0.05) | 40.01% ( 0.05) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.71% ( -1.47) | 44.29% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.64% ( -1.22) | 80.36% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.52% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.17% |
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