Atalanta finally have a handful of strikers fit and nearing top form, so should score at least once against a team which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game when on the road; Bologna have been brilliant in Emilia-Romagna recently, but less impressive away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
