SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
29.32% ( -0.06) | 25.45% ( -0.02) | 45.22% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.27% ( 0.07) | 49.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.26% ( 0.06) | 71.74% ( -0.07) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0) | 31.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0) | 67.37% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( 0.07) | 21.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( 0.1) | 55.27% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.21% |
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