SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Frosinone |
71.66% ( 0.08) | 17.02% ( -0.05) | 11.31% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.12) | 38.13% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( 0.13) | 60.4% ( -0.13) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.61% ( 0.05) | 9.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.41% ( 0.12) | 31.58% ( -0.12) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.24% ( 0.02) | 43.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.07% ( 0.01) | 79.92% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Frosinone |
| 2-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 71.65% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.31% |
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