Torino may be tough to beat, but they are far less effective on the road; as the away side will most likely lie deep, Atalanta can play their way into the game following a few days of celebration, before scoring once to post a sixth straight Serie A win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.