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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
TL

Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino

Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Zappacosta (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19'), Buongiorno (46'), Vlasic (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Torino

Plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected in this fixture, considering that 35 goals have been scored at an average of 5.8 per game over the last three seasons. Atalanta will be viewed as the slight favourites on home soil, but the visitors are sure to have their say in the contest and should do enough to claim a hard-fought point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
54.45% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.98% (0.044 0.04) 21.57% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)49.85% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)71.85% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)18.2% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.133 -0.13)49.21% (0.138 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.44% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 54.44%
    Torino 21.57%
    Draw 23.97%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.44%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Atalanta
Friday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Palermo
Saturday, August 6 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-3 Torino
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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