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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
VD

Atletico GO
1 - 1
Vasco

Rodriguez (7')
Maguinho (32'), Baralhas (43'), Martins (72'), Rhaldney (79'), Freitas (90+8')
Maguinho (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vegetti (88')
Henrique (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Vasco da Gama

While Vasco da Gama have suffered a slump in form of late, they will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Goianiense side who have failed to win any of their last 11 matches. Paiva's men are unbeaten in their last three visits to the Estadio Antonio Accioly and we fancy them to secure a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
47.04% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 27.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.22% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)55.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)70.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 47.03%
    Vasco da Gama 27.18%
    Draw 25.77%
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 27.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Bahia
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Vasco
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Vasco
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro


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